By Aaron M Smith
On Thursday, June 18th the eyes of the golfing world will converge in Farmingdale, NY for the 109th U.S. Open. 156 golfers – professional and amateur will vie for one of the most coveted titles within the world of golf – U.S Open Champion. But in order to do it, they will have to conquer Bethpage Black – a 7,214 yard beast. Add in the traditional U.S. Open rough and the course is likely to leave some of the best golfers in the world scratching their heads. Before we start to identify some of the favorites in this year’s U.S. Open – let’s identify two of the areas that will be vital in order for any player to be successful:
Length – As already mentioned, Bethpage Black is measuring out at a minimum of 7,214 yards. Players that can hit their drives 300+ yards are going to have an immediate advantage. Longer drives allow the golfers to hit lower irons such as the 8,9, and wedges (Pitching and Sand) in their approach to the greens. With these irons, golfers will be able to generate both more spin and more height, allowing them to shoot directly at the pin locations. Closer putts equals better birdie opportunities. But having the length of the tee won’t matter if golfers aren”t…
Accuracy – Sure guys can bomb it 320-330 – but can they keep it in the fairway? In other tournaments, guys not keeping it in the fairway could overcome their inaccuracy with good shots out of a manageable rough. Not in the U.S. Open. USGA’s fondness for forcing golfers to turn their irons into machetes in order to get through the rough is becoming legendary. In reviewing some of the holes, players will also have to shape alot of their drives as many of the holes have either sharp or slight dog-legs. Players that are able to cut corners on the some of the dog legs and keep it in the fairway, will have an advantage in the approach to the green. Any problems keeping on the short stuff, could lead to a short weekend.
Let’s take a look at some of the favorites:
Tiger Woods – Obviously the defending champion is going to be on the list and probably is the odds-on favorite to win the tournament. After winning the Memorial tournament recently, Woods is proving that he is just about all the way back from the knee surgery that knocked him out for most of the 2008 season. Woods’ abillity to be accurate off the tee will be vital for him – an area that he has struggled with early on this season. If he is able to manage the course like he did at the Memorial and he could run away with this tournament. Also key – Woods’ physical strength. A majority of the players on the PGA Tour, don’t have the physical prowess of Woods -leading to trouble getting some shots out of the rough and onto the greens. It will lead to players having to lay-up and rest in alot of par and bogey putts. Woods strength will allow him to take shots of the rough that most player won’t be able to do.
Phil Mickelson – Most people might be writing off Mickelson as a contender, because of the recent medical problems with his wife, Amy Mickelson. But he proved in this weeks St. Jude’s Classic that he will compete and if he gets off to a good start – don’t be surprised if most of the fans at the tournament sarting following around Mickelson. The New York golf community has been pro-Mickelson in the past and everyone loves a feel good story. Mickelson certainly has the length and iron skills to make a run at the championship, but can tend the play extremely aggressive. I am not sure if this is the type of course that favors the aggressive style. But if Mickelson can control the aggressiveness and still attack the course – we might be in for something special.
Jim Furyk – Furyk won’t be on most people’s lists for longest hitters on the Tour, but Furyk and his uncanny swing is one of the most accurate iron players. Furyk is also known around the PGA as one of the best putters on the tour. He is a former U.S. Open champion, whose experience will be instrumental in his management around the course. Considering how difficult the U.S. Open can be on the mental aspect of the game for the golfers, any player nicknamed “The Grinder” has to be on the list of favorites.
Geoff Ogilvy – Another former U.S. Open champion, but from Australia and has been playing some of the best golf of his career in 2009. Know for being long off the tee and accurate, this course sets up well for Ogilvy to make serious run at the championship. The only knock on Ogilvy – and most golfers can relate, is that when the wheels come off his game – they seem to really come off. Still, I expect Ogilvy to be there come Sunday.
Anthony Kim – Most people know Kim from his amazing performance at the Ryder Cup in Valhalla Country Club in Lexington, KY. But the 22 year old is in the mold of Tiger Woods and has a knack for making the golf course extremely short. Set a record at the 2009 Masters with 12 birdies in a round, but consistency has plagued Kim so far. If he can put it together for 4 days, we could see Kim’s name at the top of the leaderboard.
Kenny Perry – The question for Kenny Perry is whether he will be able to rebound from his collapse at the 2009 Masters. The Kentucky native is known for his accuracy and calm demeanor. If he stays within his own game and doesn’t try to stay with the Tiger Woods of the PGA – he could be in contention come Sunday.
Other notables – Vijay Singh, Ian Poulter, Padraig Harrington and Adam Scott.
While I have named a few that could be in contention come Sunday, anything can happen in golf. Don’t be surprised if we see a whole different group of names a the top of the leaderboard.
Casey says
Smitty
Well done!
Where’s Cabrera fit in all of this?
Will Kenny Perry ever live down the Masters? What’s the quote? When I made that putt, for the first time, I thought I would be a Masters champion. Then a trip to bogeyville.
Smitty says
Thanks Casey!
I am assuming you mean Angel Cabrera and not Luis Pujols… I mean Miguel Cabrera.
Cabrera is definitely one of the long hitters on the Tour, but his accuracy has probably prevented him from becoming one of the elites in the game. Plus, he seems to be suffering from the Masters hangover. He really hasn’t played well since then and I am not sure I see him putting it all together for 4 rounds.
As for Kenny Perry – gotta root for the guy. He is a “Taylormade” guy and right there is enough for me root for him. But if he is in contention Sunday – are flashbacks of the Masters collapse going to start creeping into his mind. I won’t be surprised if he is right there on Sunday – the question is whether he can hold on.
Wally says
Great post, Smitty. I’d love to see Phil break through in this one, but I’m afraid he’s not disciplined/accurate enough off the tee to stay out of the rough. He’ll be one of the guys trying to cut his way out. Hope I’m wrong.
Whatever happened to Ernie Els? Over the hill?
No love for Padrag Harrington? He’s one to watch.
Smitty says
Wally –
Ernie Els has been somewhat of an enigma lately. I don’t think he is over the hill, as much as it has been his health. I know he has had wrist surgery and that really seems to have taken its toll on him making his way back. There has been a few times this year where he seems to play himself into contention, only to give it back the next day. The consistency just hasn’t been there.
As for Padraig Harrington – he certainly can be up there. But overall – he really hasn’t played that well this year on this side of the pond. Not sure if he can turn it on this weekend, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.
Rey says
I heard that Ben Roethlisberger (sp?), Michael Jordan, and Justin Timberlake each shot below a 90 on this course and Big Ben shot an 81. What in the world? I thought the US Open was usually a tough gig if you couldn’t be accurate, as you mentioned. Anthony Kim says that the greens are very soft and the ball will settle nicely. Has to be an advantage for guys like him and Phil and any others who are accurate with their short game.
Wally says
But you can’t be hitting your approach shot from the rough and still get the ball to stop in birdie range (okay … maybe Tiger can). Ya gotta be hitting from the fairway to get enough spin on the ball to stop it. I’m thinking that the course certainly favors the long AND accurate drivers, as Smitty pointed out, but if I could only be one of those during the Open, I’d pick accurate. Just have to avoid that rough.
Smitty says
That is impressive if those guys shot in the 80s, but something tells me they weren’t playing in U.S. Open conditions – meaning rough that resembles something just short of a jungle. The two levels of rough are going to be at least 3 inches, with some of the rough being 4 to 6 inches deep. That is ” your ball rolls in and you can’t see it ” kinda rough.
With the rough being wet and thick from the rain, that ball is going to come out hot and it is going to be hard to stop on the greens. If they are in the fairway, Anthony Kim is right – they will be able to control the ball and go right at the pin. Anything out of that rough is going to be tough to stop.